The right can fanny about for a few more months (the locals will give them a breathing space) but it really needs to get serious about the next election.
We are coming down to least worst alternatives.
Restore are disruptive but a personal wrecking project.
Homeland etc are captured by weird guys who have swastika tattoos.
The tories (my personal inclination) have lost the electorate at least in this cycle.
Which leads us to Reform.
Farage may be a performance careerist but he is pretty much the only thing (given the implosion of labour) preventing the very real prospect of the madness of David Paulden (“Zach Polanski”) having a serious chance of either being in power or being a kingmaker.
No. No. No.
Much as you loathe him Pete, Farage maybe the only thing that saves us from the high tide of Green lunacy: even if that entails a rabble of a reform gov which collapses under its own incompetence it might allow time for either the Tories or Labour to recover in the next parliament while keeping absolute nutters out.
In brief I see an increase in sensible people not voting saying 'a plague on all your houses' which leaves a coalition of the more committed Left as the most likely winners at the next election.
Whoever wins the country will continue its journey to hell in handcart leaving the election after next as our main hope for a rebirth which will need to include these reforms or no change will last as with the people still largely divorced from power our politicians revert to their old ways.
Reform peaked last May after the local elections, thereafter flat lining at 30-31% until mid November, since when their average polling has been 29%. My view for the past year is that Reform have hit a ceiling and whatever they do, however bad Labour or the Tories are, they won't poll anywhere near Commons majority territory.
Reform's mistaken belief has been that that doesn't matter. In a five-party system it's arithmetically possible to poll low 30s and a still gain a majority. However, that assumes no tactical voting, which the Left have historically done. Tactical voting destroys the multi-party paradigm, leaving Reform out-gunned by the combined forces of the Left (see Gorton & Denton and Caerphilly). If this has been obvious to an amateur sleuth like me, you'd have thought someone in Millbank would've realised.
If I were bucking for government right now, I'd be focusing on the cost of living, specifically the cost of energy (which is partly American policy to raise prices, and partly the destructive agenda of Miliband and the globalist climate liars). Thereafter it must be about taxation, including council tax. Councils are a scapegoat for central government, but we should see more holding of local authorities to account, with audits published, summaries distributed to all voters, together with more penalties imposed on financially reckless councillors and officers. The facilitators of the rape gangs must be indicted; the roads must be fixed; and police priorities reorganised to focus on real, daily, crimes such as fraud, burglary and vehicle theft. The cutting of immigration, legal and illegal, is implicit and core, and must be accompanied by more emphasis on integration, assisted by welfare reforms. Enough to be going on with?
Political geeks may understand the green lunacy, but many, particuarly young women will vote for what a Green party should stand for -environmentalism. They see the world and want it to be cleaner and nicer. Polanski only has to smile, stay calm and not engage in macho rhetoric, just talk happy and positive.
The right can fanny about for a few more months (the locals will give them a breathing space) but it really needs to get serious about the next election.
We are coming down to least worst alternatives.
Restore are disruptive but a personal wrecking project.
Homeland etc are captured by weird guys who have swastika tattoos.
The tories (my personal inclination) have lost the electorate at least in this cycle.
Which leads us to Reform.
Farage may be a performance careerist but he is pretty much the only thing (given the implosion of labour) preventing the very real prospect of the madness of David Paulden (“Zach Polanski”) having a serious chance of either being in power or being a kingmaker.
No. No. No.
Much as you loathe him Pete, Farage maybe the only thing that saves us from the high tide of Green lunacy: even if that entails a rabble of a reform gov which collapses under its own incompetence it might allow time for either the Tories or Labour to recover in the next parliament while keeping absolute nutters out.
You're too optimistic. My fear is that Reform will fuck things up so badly they will hand an unprecedented majority to the Greens in 2034.
But what's the alternative - a Labour/Green coalition in 2029?
In brief I see an increase in sensible people not voting saying 'a plague on all your houses' which leaves a coalition of the more committed Left as the most likely winners at the next election.
Whoever wins the country will continue its journey to hell in handcart leaving the election after next as our main hope for a rebirth which will need to include these reforms or no change will last as with the people still largely divorced from power our politicians revert to their old ways.
https://harrogateagenda.org.uk/
I see 2029 as being more important than that. The world is changing very fast. The world, and especially Britain will be unrecognisable by then.
The trouble is history teaches us that 'rebirth' usually only happens once you've reached rock bottom - or am I wrong?
Reform peaked last May after the local elections, thereafter flat lining at 30-31% until mid November, since when their average polling has been 29%. My view for the past year is that Reform have hit a ceiling and whatever they do, however bad Labour or the Tories are, they won't poll anywhere near Commons majority territory.
Reform's mistaken belief has been that that doesn't matter. In a five-party system it's arithmetically possible to poll low 30s and a still gain a majority. However, that assumes no tactical voting, which the Left have historically done. Tactical voting destroys the multi-party paradigm, leaving Reform out-gunned by the combined forces of the Left (see Gorton & Denton and Caerphilly). If this has been obvious to an amateur sleuth like me, you'd have thought someone in Millbank would've realised.
If I were bucking for government right now, I'd be focusing on the cost of living, specifically the cost of energy (which is partly American policy to raise prices, and partly the destructive agenda of Miliband and the globalist climate liars). Thereafter it must be about taxation, including council tax. Councils are a scapegoat for central government, but we should see more holding of local authorities to account, with audits published, summaries distributed to all voters, together with more penalties imposed on financially reckless councillors and officers. The facilitators of the rape gangs must be indicted; the roads must be fixed; and police priorities reorganised to focus on real, daily, crimes such as fraud, burglary and vehicle theft. The cutting of immigration, legal and illegal, is implicit and core, and must be accompanied by more emphasis on integration, assisted by welfare reforms. Enough to be going on with?
Great post Pete, cheers
Political geeks may understand the green lunacy, but many, particuarly young women will vote for what a Green party should stand for -environmentalism. They see the world and want it to be cleaner and nicer. Polanski only has to smile, stay calm and not engage in macho rhetoric, just talk happy and positive.
“People have voted Reform now, but not voted for the new-look Greens.”
This doesn’t make any sense.
The recent by-election in Gorton and Denton directly contradicts this.
A swallow does not a summer make. I would be very wary of extrapolating GE intentions from a by-election.