Without a detailed program and manifesto a government cannot discipline its own MPs or the House of Lords when push back comes. Nor can the civil service be resisted unless the policy they are obliged to implement is spelled out in a manifesto.
Party management ham strung Tory MPs and is beginning to effect Labour even with its large majority. Reform have discovered it with a mere 5 MPs. If they ever achieved a majority with 327+ new, inexperienced MPs with no realistic knowledge about what being in government is really like then expect them to be battling themselves as well as the civil service, the judiciary, NGOs, the media, and supra-national bodies and other governments such as Ireland weaponising the Belfast Agreement.
There is a legislative program - in theory - that must include repeal of the Constitutional Reform Act of 2005 as well as the HRA and leaving the EHCR. Pursuit of this will require very detailed analysis, and careful sequencing and careful phasing amid serious politics over devolution.
At present there is no sign that Reform has the intellectual depth to design a realistic program for government. By 2029 the state of the economy may be such that it becomes their first priority and may well consume then to be its only priority. I doubt what needs to be done can be achieved in one term.
Could it be that the intention of mass immigration was always to transfer wealth from ordinary taxpayers to the immigration industrial complex? The nefarious actors that benefit such as Serco and Capita, have a much firmer grip on the strings of the civil service than any politician has ever had.
Until this insidious relationship is exposed and accepted as the cause of the problem, few politicians will have the stomach or the wherewithal for the fight. These are dark actors and the stakes are high.
I am leaning more and more towards the David Betz prognosis - we are headed for civil war. The barbarians aren't going to be deported with due process, they are going to be chased out by armed gangs.
“Nobody said it was easy” as Coldplay put it. Pete knows more about how to get rid of illegals than I do but what I do know is that nothing will happen without a Reform government. Here’s a plan. We start by stopping legal migration - easy. We then send back all illegals arriving via Calais to Calais - a bit harder but fairly easy. We deport all foreign criminals in jails - fairly easy. We deport all foreigners convicted of crimes - fairly easy (may have to pay Pakistan something). We look at the status of the 40000 being monitored by MI5 and deport where they have dual nationality and look to revoke nationality for those only with a British Passport - harder but necessary. Then we start rounding up illegals once we’ve left ECHR and reverted to pre HRA. Crack on.
I agree with so much of this. Thoughtful and serious as ever. There is policy as campaigning popularisation - linking say Zero Carbon to not being able to afford a car or forever high gas electric bills and no security of supply – I think Farage will do well on this.
Reform's Doge ideas for Local Councils are ridiculous. They have no idea how depleted most of our local government is, half already embarking on further massive cuts to see off Section 114 status. In Whitehall there could be some real savings, but I have a feeling Labour will have made most of them given the recent talk about the Department for Culture, Media & Sport (which is one place I’d start) – and I do not think our Prime Minister has the same kind of executive power as a President does in the USA Federal Government. It’s also clear that there were many people inside the federal government that wanted to work with a second Trump term to reduce the waste and siphoning of money to the Democrat political machine.
The headline goals of a party do need to be summarized in five simple pithy slogans Get Brexit Done or Education, Education, Education, etc. More than five and people will turn off -particularly after the lying of the Tories and Labour. Net Zero Migration "sounds" good but would be horrendously difficult to deliver. Many of our core services are addicted to high migration as you obviously know.
You then have a Manifesto with say 10 strategic policy’s themes that then unpacks into 100 goals with a paragraph each. That used to be a relatively easy thing to do. But parties were clustered around the political centre. Much of what they proposed was mainstream and I doubt May really believed she was going to expand grammar schools, but it was there in her manifesto, what good it did her. Which takes us on to the mess Labour will leave behind just fixing the private schools tax issue will require time and political capital.
But Reforms 10 absolutely make or break polices, cutting tax for example. Get anyone of them seriously wrong or bogged down and that could drag the government sideways. The Bond Markets could sink a government. Through the massive passive resistance of the blobs in and outside of Whitehall, and the fiendish difficulty in writing good legislation or understanding how to repeal bad interlocking laws and that means you must have a think tank and a credible plan of action. Perhaps some low hanging fruit, so that on immigration you have an order of battle…do you go for one big unpopular thing at the start or some low hanging fruit first? Which of course depends on the size of the majority or if Reform are in coalition with the Tories.
What exactly is our appetite for change. Id settle for woke repeal act, help for small business and a phased reduction in legal immigration and measures to encourage self deportation. Say Labour have brought immigration down below 300000 a year and has increased deportations, Reform might be able to increase this direction of travel.
But I also think our financial position and many of our operations services are like a house of cards. As inept as Liz Truss was, she found out, to her cost, that stepping outside the economic consensus will get you squashed. Andrew Lilicos' take on what actually brought down Truss is a long readhttps://europe-economics.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Did-Liz-Truss-Crash-the-Economy-Final.pdf
More excellent commentary. We can never over emphasise the importance of addressing the draw factors chief among which is low skill low pay employment even among higher paying employers.
Imagine having all the major political parties, the entire msm, domestic business organisations, the world bank, imf and un, national and foreign governments, the domestic and foreign legal systems and academies, at your throat the second you do something even mildly likely to reduce the number of alien scroungers and low paid workers in the British economy.
The only credible way ahead is a revolution and that would be neither pretty or conservative.
Sending back all illegals arriving via Calais to Calais may not be the walk in the park you seem to imagine. All they need to do if refused entry is to claim asylum. HRA then kicks in, overruling any decision made by Border Force. Pete's right - the whole post-Blair settlement is a witches' brew designed to trip you up when you least expect it. Even 'easy' measures require careful preparation. Reform ain't doing it at present. Perhaps that will change. Perhaps.
Without a detailed program and manifesto a government cannot discipline its own MPs or the House of Lords when push back comes. Nor can the civil service be resisted unless the policy they are obliged to implement is spelled out in a manifesto.
Party management ham strung Tory MPs and is beginning to effect Labour even with its large majority. Reform have discovered it with a mere 5 MPs. If they ever achieved a majority with 327+ new, inexperienced MPs with no realistic knowledge about what being in government is really like then expect them to be battling themselves as well as the civil service, the judiciary, NGOs, the media, and supra-national bodies and other governments such as Ireland weaponising the Belfast Agreement.
There is a legislative program - in theory - that must include repeal of the Constitutional Reform Act of 2005 as well as the HRA and leaving the EHCR. Pursuit of this will require very detailed analysis, and careful sequencing and careful phasing amid serious politics over devolution.
At present there is no sign that Reform has the intellectual depth to design a realistic program for government. By 2029 the state of the economy may be such that it becomes their first priority and may well consume then to be its only priority. I doubt what needs to be done can be achieved in one term.
Could it be that the intention of mass immigration was always to transfer wealth from ordinary taxpayers to the immigration industrial complex? The nefarious actors that benefit such as Serco and Capita, have a much firmer grip on the strings of the civil service than any politician has ever had.
Until this insidious relationship is exposed and accepted as the cause of the problem, few politicians will have the stomach or the wherewithal for the fight. These are dark actors and the stakes are high.
I am leaning more and more towards the David Betz prognosis - we are headed for civil war. The barbarians aren't going to be deported with due process, they are going to be chased out by armed gangs.
“Nobody said it was easy” as Coldplay put it. Pete knows more about how to get rid of illegals than I do but what I do know is that nothing will happen without a Reform government. Here’s a plan. We start by stopping legal migration - easy. We then send back all illegals arriving via Calais to Calais - a bit harder but fairly easy. We deport all foreign criminals in jails - fairly easy. We deport all foreigners convicted of crimes - fairly easy (may have to pay Pakistan something). We look at the status of the 40000 being monitored by MI5 and deport where they have dual nationality and look to revoke nationality for those only with a British Passport - harder but necessary. Then we start rounding up illegals once we’ve left ECHR and reverted to pre HRA. Crack on.
Remove the traitors there who approve fake refugees.
I agree with so much of this. Thoughtful and serious as ever. There is policy as campaigning popularisation - linking say Zero Carbon to not being able to afford a car or forever high gas electric bills and no security of supply – I think Farage will do well on this.
Reform's Doge ideas for Local Councils are ridiculous. They have no idea how depleted most of our local government is, half already embarking on further massive cuts to see off Section 114 status. In Whitehall there could be some real savings, but I have a feeling Labour will have made most of them given the recent talk about the Department for Culture, Media & Sport (which is one place I’d start) – and I do not think our Prime Minister has the same kind of executive power as a President does in the USA Federal Government. It’s also clear that there were many people inside the federal government that wanted to work with a second Trump term to reduce the waste and siphoning of money to the Democrat political machine.
The headline goals of a party do need to be summarized in five simple pithy slogans Get Brexit Done or Education, Education, Education, etc. More than five and people will turn off -particularly after the lying of the Tories and Labour. Net Zero Migration "sounds" good but would be horrendously difficult to deliver. Many of our core services are addicted to high migration as you obviously know.
You then have a Manifesto with say 10 strategic policy’s themes that then unpacks into 100 goals with a paragraph each. That used to be a relatively easy thing to do. But parties were clustered around the political centre. Much of what they proposed was mainstream and I doubt May really believed she was going to expand grammar schools, but it was there in her manifesto, what good it did her. Which takes us on to the mess Labour will leave behind just fixing the private schools tax issue will require time and political capital.
But Reforms 10 absolutely make or break polices, cutting tax for example. Get anyone of them seriously wrong or bogged down and that could drag the government sideways. The Bond Markets could sink a government. Through the massive passive resistance of the blobs in and outside of Whitehall, and the fiendish difficulty in writing good legislation or understanding how to repeal bad interlocking laws and that means you must have a think tank and a credible plan of action. Perhaps some low hanging fruit, so that on immigration you have an order of battle…do you go for one big unpopular thing at the start or some low hanging fruit first? Which of course depends on the size of the majority or if Reform are in coalition with the Tories.
What exactly is our appetite for change. Id settle for woke repeal act, help for small business and a phased reduction in legal immigration and measures to encourage self deportation. Say Labour have brought immigration down below 300000 a year and has increased deportations, Reform might be able to increase this direction of travel.
But I also think our financial position and many of our operations services are like a house of cards. As inept as Liz Truss was, she found out, to her cost, that stepping outside the economic consensus will get you squashed. Andrew Lilicos' take on what actually brought down Truss is a long readhttps://europe-economics.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Did-Liz-Truss-Crash-the-Economy-Final.pdf
, but this interview is well worth a listen. https://shows.acast.com/65804e0f1585de00125ded2d/episodes/677eb14a172a299f3171db55? When politicians come to run the British economy, they frequently lack any real economic or business experience.
I cant help but think Reform as however constituted could be heading for a serious crash.
More excellent commentary. We can never over emphasise the importance of addressing the draw factors chief among which is low skill low pay employment even among higher paying employers.
Imagine having all the major political parties, the entire msm, domestic business organisations, the world bank, imf and un, national and foreign governments, the domestic and foreign legal systems and academies, at your throat the second you do something even mildly likely to reduce the number of alien scroungers and low paid workers in the British economy.
The only credible way ahead is a revolution and that would be neither pretty or conservative.
Isn’t this also what Rupert Lowe has been shouting about?
This is an incisive and first rate article that should be read by any/all activists on the British right , along with all armchair politicos.
We always look at situations ‘now’ rather than in the future.
What will the government have done in 4 years time?
What will the EU also have done given the government desire their direction?
What will Trumps view be (if he is still alive and in power) or his successor?
Let’s say Labour has let a further 3 million migrants into the UK.
The EU has exported a further 1.5 million ‘EU’ novel citizens under the ‘youth’ system recently agreed by Starmer.
The USA President has reacted to the EU for anti democratic actions committed by them which include:-
What if civil unrest in France Belgium Italy is put down by a European army including troops from the UK?
What happens when so called ‘far right’ parties are excluded from elections?
What if legislation is introduced to block white’s from positions of power, particularly in the judiciary, police, social services?
What will the UK populace reaction be if and when atrocities recur in this country?
Will the remedy for mass migration have to be more drastic than just legislating illegal and criminal migrants out of the UK?
I don’t see any legislative way of removing millions from the UK without the reaction of physical resistance.
Does that mean we stop remigration or do we double down to enforce it?
To think we can introduce remigration without a physical reaction is a pretence born of a desire for peaceful change.
It’s a laudable desire. Yes. But realistic? No.
Sending back all illegals arriving via Calais to Calais may not be the walk in the park you seem to imagine. All they need to do if refused entry is to claim asylum. HRA then kicks in, overruling any decision made by Border Force. Pete's right - the whole post-Blair settlement is a witches' brew designed to trip you up when you least expect it. Even 'easy' measures require careful preparation. Reform ain't doing it at present. Perhaps that will change. Perhaps.
Cogent, punchy and realistic - it's nice to have Pete North back - albeit, perhaps temporarily.