Can Britain be saved?

By 2060 or sooner, native Brits will become a minority in their own homeland. The birth-rate is collapsing. Not a lot is being done to prevent it. This is what is shaping the politics of the British right. This isn’t exclusively confined to the fringes of politics. It will be a matter of increasing urgency in the years to come.

It is not a question that has ever really troubled the powers that be. Immigration is the default economic lever to solve manpower problems. That, though, is changing.

That then presents some thorny issues for any future government. Any policy designed to increase the birth-rate could very well accelerate the native population decline in that it could incentivise breeding among third world imports. Any policy designed to save Britain from extinction will necessarily be discriminatory, but that goes against the egalitarian principles of the welfarist mentality. As such, these policies would only be implemented by an avowedly ethno-nationalist government - which seems unlikley.

Fixing Britain is going to require a whole raft of policies, not least extensive remigration and housebuilding. Right now the political barriers look insurmountable. It starts with re-awakening some sense of collective purpose and a desire to survive.

First off, though, we have to examine all the reasons why young people aren’t having kids. Certainly the lack of decent pay is a factor. We’re seeing wage compression as a consequence of the minimum wage, downward pressures on wages by oversupply of labour, an AI revolution in the making, and a lack of decent affordable housing. The deck is stacked against the native population, especially if they wish to maintain their own standards of living.

This is a dynamic Mike Judge illustrated in the film Idiocracy…

His model outlines how evolution rewards those who bred the most, leading to the intelligent becoming an endangered species. He outlines how intelligent people weigh up the risks of procreating - and delay until it’s too late. He then paints a picture of a dystopian future where intelligence is a dysgenic trait.

Mike Judge’s model, though, was very much of its time and does not consider race as a factor. His film predates the West’s importation of millions of low IQ third-worlders. As such, the future is set to be even worse than his pessimistic dystopian because residual habits of civilisation don’t even survive. The future is one of ethnic balkanisation, kleptocracy and chaos.

This presents a longer term problem in that when the natives are even further minoritised, the norms of liberal democracy will collapse, as will whatever’s left of Britain’s functioning governance. South Africa looks like the way it’s going where keeping basic utilities operational is a challenge - and things like refuse collection and civic sanitary services collapse entirely.

Worse still, when native Brits have no overall control, politics will lean more towards left wing ideas, that will see Britain become an economic basket case, with ever more corrupt winner-takes-all tribal politics and gangster authorities.

Long term this is likely to create an exodus. It should be recalled that most migrants come to Britain in search of a better life and better economic prospects. They will not stay if there is nothing to stay for - and certainly not if welfare systems collapse. We could be looking at a more general exodus, possibly leaving Britain an post-civilisation wasteland like Sheffield, only chronically underpopulated.

Whichever way you look at it, the prognosis is not good. My own thinking over the last year mirrors that of David Betz, in suggesting that civil war in some or other shape is inevitable, but there’s also the possibility of inexorable, perpetual decline and de-evolution.

Mercifully, there is a understanding of this fate on the fringes of the British right. The question is whether it can galvanise and mobilise in time to prevent this dystopia. Some believe the answer is to reinvent Britain as a Christian country, seeking to revive Britain’s church-going traditions, but when you look at the current state oft the Church of England and the monarchy, that seems like a forlorn hope. As much as anything, Christian nationalism always comes over as phoney. Meanwhile, I don’t see any future for an ethno-nationalist party. My experiences over the last year are neatly expressed in the meme below…

The other problem with the new right is that the momentum is coming from zoomer boys who are just as likely to blame women as they are Jews. There’s a strong whiff of incel on the British right, which blames an undefined notion of feminism for the state of Western society, any many are fixated on reviving a romanticised 1950s version of the nuclear family. The problem is, it doesn’t offer women very much as an ideology, not least when the new right would all but eliminate abortion. Women aren’t going to vote for rolling back seventy years of liberation.

I do think, though, that a more socially conservative movement is an inevitability, not least because the left have pushed liberalism to a point where there will be an equal an opposite reaction. But it’s not imminent. Between now and then, there’s one or two terms of a Reform government (or a close approximation) followed by a radical left wing coalition.

The problem here is that Reform is still very much a vehicle belonging to the incumbent political consensus. Any policy explicitly geared to favour the natives is too rich for their blood, and is mainly concerned with illegal immigration. It is fundamentally, a civic nationalist party that would only ever play lip service to the demographic oblivion our people are facing. As such, there isn’t the political coherence required to put things back on track.

This is not to say an awakening is not on the cards. There are few certainties in the near future except that things are going to get a magnitude worse. Islamic sectarianism is going to get worse. The economy is going to get worse. Labour market stagnation is going going to get worse. Disposable come will keep shrinking. The cost of energy will keep rising. Even the best possible version of Reform cannot fix these things because they are baked in for the foreseeable future. Any significant reforms would take a decade to pay off. In that time we are likely to see more racialised politics because that is the natural order in times of severe economic stress.

Ten years from now, things could look very different. Boomers will be shuffling loose of the moral coil, housing bubbles will implode, and the post-war moral universe will be dead and buried. This is blank slate territory.

At this point we should be looking at the broader European picture. In some ways, the “populist revolt” is more mature on the continent, and we will see it taking or exerting power in France and Germany. Certainly, the EU is looking at another existential crisis. If it cannot reform, it will surely die.

We should also recall that Europe is suffering from a broader debt crisis coupled with Net Zero inspired deindustrialisation even increased defence spending cannot reverse. European states are more likely to adopt robust remigration policies, perhaps even driving waves of migrants towards Britain, making the numbers currently crossing by dinghy look like a rounding error.

It is reasonable to expect that there will be an event, or a series of events, in the next decade that will demolish what’s left of the liberal order, where even Reform has to tack to the “far right” to stay in business. The socially fashionable platitudes that uphold liberalism are only skin deep and will evaporate when the going gets tough and the streets aren’t safe at night.

Just before Christmas, I did a YouTube spot on The World of Momus, talking about how boring politics has been just lately. I’ve been at my wits end with the tiresome Groundhog Day news cycle, even to the point of wondering if I can stay in the game as a political pundit.

But when I get to thinking along the lines above, I recall that this is just the “phoney war” stage of collapse. This Labour government still has three years to run, but I will eat my hat if Keir Starmer is still the PM by next Christmas. The chess board is taking form. The game is in play. On that basis, it might be wise to enjoy the boring phase while it still lasts, because when it becomes unboring, it will be hard for even the most prolific of political scribblers to keep pace with it.

The bottom line is that while the broader public is politically disengaged right now, they are not apathetic. The anger is simmering just under the boil, and no country can remain subject to this level of structural incompetence without it boiling over eventually. It may not happen in the coming year or the year after, but when it does, a certain unstoppable process gets underway. Right now it doesn’t look like Britain can be saved, but things might look a lot different when the British public awakes from its long slumber.