Why right wing parties will never get serious
I want to put something on the record. There’s a lot of people on X who say the reason I’m so scathing about Restore Britain is because they turned down an offer from me to write policy, and it’s all just sour grapes. They’re saying a number of malicious things about me because I don’t lavish praise on the new messiah.
For the record, I have not approached Restore Britain about writing policy for them. I wouldn’t waste my time producing policy for a party that doesn’t have the first idea how to use it (and wouldn’t bother to learn it). I’ve just made the case that they could and should be further along than they are with the resources and time they’ve had, and my own sketch over at manifestoproject.org is an example of what can be done in a short space of time on a limited budget. I don’t see that they have any excuse for not having developed an intellectual foundation.
My second point is that they really should do this kind of work just to game the consequences of populist tropes, otherwise you can end up digging a hole for yourself. They run the risk of promising policy they simply cannot implement which contributes to the persistent feeling of betrayal. Moreover, as we keep seeing from Reform, they contradict each other an almost daily basis precisely because they don’t have a policy framework or a definition.
When Rupert Lowe said he was launching a party, I was initially quite enthusiastic. Lowe’s launch video set out the base marker for what the party was about and it was in the right ballpark. Following that, I expected Lowe would shift up a gear rather than firing off pub bore rants on X all day. Only he’s got worse by the day and even his own employees think he’s ridiculous. Consequently, the party has has already beached itself on the rocks of populism.
The problem with a party that starts off with witless unresearched pub rants is that it can never evolve any further because its own supporters won't let it. It's permanently locked into all of its dumbest tropes (“bonfire of quangos” etc), and any attempt at intelligent interrogation of the issues will be treated as a betrayal by the online right. The right will tightly police its own stupidity and purity spiral into irrelevance.
That is not to say that a retard-right platform won’t be massively popular, but unless it can evolve there’s an inherent electoral ceiling to this kind of populism. To my great surprise Reform eventually learned this, but now the entire online right has turned on them. Still, though, even Reform can only go so far and it’s now obliged to attempt a number of highly questionable policies with zero chance of succeeding. As such, they’re not getting re-elected even if they do win in 2029.
The other problem is X. Lowbrow shitposting is fun, popular and profitable. Thinking is not. Thinking takes time and patience, and if you suggest to the online right that you might want to a apply a bit of strategic nous to their activities, they will throw their toys out of the pram. This is precisely what we saw with Brexit when it was suggested that some sort of plan would be a good idea. They’re not just unwilling to do the work, they are actively hostile to any kind of thinking.
As much as anything, I don’t see any room for intelligent evolution for Restore because Lowe and Farage are remarkably similar people. Restore policy is as much a surprise to his own staffers as it is everyone else. Policy is whatever Rupert Lowe tweets - and he’s tweeting generic Thatcherite Tory right tropes. Consequently, his policy writers have to backfill detail on what wasn’t properly thought through to begin with. Their job is now to put lipstick on pigs.
Given how Rupert Lowe is a boilerplate economic libertarian Tory and trad-authoritarian on everything else, his views on the NHS are likely to be 90% predictable which will result in wildly unpopular slash-and-burn policy that’s an electoral liability.
The thing about libertarianism is that it’s a fantastic off-the-shelf framework to avoid any thinking at all. You can abolish things on ideological grounds and leave everything to some nebulous notion of market forces. It’s also infused with a streak of nihilism where everything is too broken to fix, necessitating a scorched earth approach - rather than climbing in and understanding what is going wrong and where. Fundamentally, the right is intellectually bone ide.
As such, Lowe’s staffers can hurriedly knock out a stream of policy papers padded out with whatever filler they can find, but the chances of them developing a serious joined-up policy prospectus are somewhere close to zero. Lowe, much like Farage, will junk it on a whim if the situation calls for it. Consequently, it’s now impossible to escape the conclusion that we aren’t voting our way out of this mess. Maybe the right can win in 2029 or beyond, but the pathological amateurism is incurable.
Name me a party in the UK that is serious. From riding around on hobby horses, legalising heroin, Labour acting like sulky and over-emotional teenagers, Reform acting like complete arseholes only able to speak in 3 word slogans, Your Party, the nationalist parties, Restore living in 2017 shitpost land....Who brings any seriousness into British politics? Well, there is one but people won't like who it is.
The call is to "unite the Right" but I don't think they're capable of coming together and that's largely down to the intransigence of Reform who are petulantly demanding that everyone on the right must join them or else. Their current statements sound almost identical to Remainers in 2016 peddling Project Fear. Oh the irony. I had Arron Banks tell me that I had to "fall into line" with Reform. No, Arron, your party doesn't own my vote. Reform have continually tried the tactic of insulting anyone on the Right who isn't enamoured with them as if that's going to win them over.
So I thought how could you unite the Right? On the morning after the Gorton and Denton by election I saw statements pointing out the dangers of sectarianism and family voting from Restore, the Conservatives and Reform and noticed they all see the issue as a problem that needs dealing with. So why don't the 3 of them get together to see if they can work together to draft a policy or even a plan of action. Show right wing voters they can work together on single issues and then maybe on a broader policy platform. But Reform won't work with others. If they can't work on a clear cut issue as the Rape Gang Enquiry, as Restore and the Conservatives have been able to do, they won't work on anything. They're not intelligent enough or practical enough to work with others, their primary goal is the destruction of all other right wing parties so they'll never unite the Right and thus be condemned to always finishing second....but then maybe that's what Nigel wants? To be the eternal runner up so he can avoid responsibility and play the "I was robbed!" victim card.
Good writing as ever Pete - but I think the problem here is the age of political parties itself may be on its arse. What's really not being addressed by any of them (and won't be by a party due to their inherent structures) is the more general trend of what's being done in the Uk and indeed the western world. It's being made increasingly difficult to do anything positive in life and increasingly easy for people to get themselves in trouble, whether that's planning violations, hate crimes or anything else.
Restore have made it quite clear that as part of their plans they will spend enormous amounts of public money (coming from where?) to build the infrastructure to detain and deport hundreds of thousands of people a year. Even at that rate (and with a high strike rate) you're looking at a decade for them to hit the target. Then there are all the new laws, police powers etc that would be necessary to give large-scale deportations a chance of working. If people think those new laws and powers will only ever be used on illegal immigrants, they should remember how anti-terrorism legislation was twisted and distorted into all sorts of nonsense over time.
I think we're all in agreement on here that too many people were allowed to come here who shouldn't have been - and that the Boriswave was an 'eyes wide open' moment for a lot of us. But as concerning as it is the real threat comes from the alliance of Big State and Big Business, You have two things that should really matter most - the stuff you have (and the value of it) plus your individual rights. Reform we now know would just be custodians of the post-Blair orthodoxy - Restore might just pave the way for whoever came after them to impose real tyranny.