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Zorro Tomorrow's avatar

You obviously have no time for Reform and with the state of the Tories surely hold no hope for them this time. As such you must be resigned to Starmer, a defeatist attitude. UKIP did not appeal enough to the wider public at the time, the status quo wasn't as dire then.

I despaired at Tice's Reform and complained bitterly. It was like coming home and telling off the dog for chewing the furniture. I think the Farage effect extends hope to the unrepresented. Discounting Sunak, they have an upcoming come uppance, the Lib Dems if not clowns are deluded and if you're describing a divided disorganised Party with debatable policies there is Labour for whom it appears 40% will vote - if the polls are to be believed.

Nigel Farage claims no big seat wins. This week or next may reveal some defectors but they must hurry before the ballot papers go to the printers.

What I do know is that John and Jenny shy, silent majority, floating voter, some of whom hide behind pseudonyms on comments sections are thoroughly sick of the status quo and may lie in wait to surprise us. Nobody has asked me about my voting intentions bar the Express and I take them with a pinch of salt.

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jcbird's avatar

Interesting analysis, if depressing. One question: what happened to the UKIP momentum? Who will all the UKIPpers be voting for this time round?

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Gregb's avatar

We left the EU, sort of, so, much of the reason for UKIP's existence, was gone and it atrophied.

I agree with Pete's analysis. My local MP concentrates on local matters and local publicity, appearing at fetes and scout/guide gatherings. He acts almost as a Councillor but it works for him with plenty of photos in the local press. I would prefer he concentrated on national issues but, as Pete opines, localism works and a local party network is very important.

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jcbird's avatar

Understandable. Presumably then its supporter base will be fractured, in voting terms.

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John Sampson's avatar

s/perhaps unfair/unfair/

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